Oil is bringing China and the Arab world closer economically. Politics will follow
The Economist - Jun 20th 2015 | BEIJING, CAIRO AND RIYADH
FOR hundreds of years travellers have haggled over carpets,
jewellery, spices and copperwork in the winding alleyways of Khan
al-Khalili, Cairo’s traditional souk. Today the goods are more likely to have been mass-made in a factory in China than handcrafted in a local workshop.
Trade is central to growing ties between China and the
Middle East. It has increased more than 600% in the past decade, to $230
billion in 2014. Bahrain, Egypt, Iran and Saudi Arabia all import more
from China than from any other country. China is the top destination for
exports from several countries in the region too, including Iran, Oman
and Saudi Arabia. In April Qatar opened the Middle East’s first clearing
bank to handle transactions in yuan.
The trade is driven by China’s thirst for oil. In 2015 it became the
world’s biggest importer of crude, half of it—more than 3m barrels a
day—from the Middle East (see chart). By 2035 China’s imports from the
region will roughly double again, reckons the International Energy
Agency, far exceeding that of any other nation. “This is a big shift
rather than incremental change,” says Chaoling Feng of Cornell
University.
Even the Middle East’s poorer countries offer a fertile market for cheap
Chinese wares. In 2013 Xi Jinping, China’s president, proposed reviving
the Silk Road, an ancient trade route linking China to Persia and the
Arab world. Chinese cars crowd the streets of the Egyptian, Syrian and
Iranian capitals. Chinese-made clothing, toys and plastics are
ubiquitous. China sells a lot of small arms too, according to the United
States Institute of Peace, a think-tank in Washington, DC.
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