THE NEW YORK TIMES - FEB. 29, 2016
Some
social scientists spend their careers researching small-scale topics
that may help push forward our understanding of bigger forces shaping
our lives. Or not. Many academic papers are never cited.
That’s not an issue with Minxin Pei. He aims high and goes for the jugular, taking on one of the biggest topics imaginable in political science: Will China’s
Communist Party stay in power in its present, authoritarian form? Mr.
Pei, a professor of government at Claremont McKenna College, argues that
the odds are high that by 2030, China’s government will be quite
different, pushed to change by the endemic corruption of the current
party system. Corruption is the subject of his forthcoming book,
“China’s Crony Capitalism: The Dynamics of Regime Decay.”
In an interview, he discussed why he believes one-party rule in China is unsustainable.
Q. You
argue that for the Chinese Communist Party to make it past 2030 in its
present form would break a lot of precedents. Why that date?
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